Upward reassessments also are taking their toll, according to Maloney. He said he has a brother whose annual property tax bill more than doubled from $12,000 on his home in Staten Island.
Drawing more people
It’s all to the advantage of Florida’s economy and its real estate industry, brokers and developers say. Some tax refugees are moving not only themselves, but their businesses to Florida, or setting up branch offices here.
Theresa Hart, who works for Florida Premier Realty, said she thinks Palm Beach County “is the next hot spot for out-of-state investors.”
“Any time you tax something, you’ll sell less,” said Josh Dotoli, of Compass Florida in Fort Lauderdale. “The idea of increasing the mansion tax is going to slow down an already sluggish [New York] real estate market. The impact on South Florida will be positive for sure.”
Some northern states say they’re feeling the pain. New Jersey reported a 35 percent decline in income-tax revenue for December 2018, according to the Wall Street Journal, and blamed the drop on tax policy. And New York Gov. Andrew Cuomo complained in February that the policy change was a “diabolical maneuver” to help red states "at the cost of blue states.”
Ed Jahn, senior vice president at Kolter, which is building the luxury 100 Las Olas high rise in downtown Fort Lauderdale, said he is seeing a stream of customers from New York, New Jersey and Massachusetts. People who previously were coming to Florida to buy a second home are now looking for primary residences, he said.
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“We already had a lack of a state income tax, which is a huge benefit,” Jahn said. “This just helps to drive more people because they are being taxed out of their states.”
He said recent customers have included a pilot, a cleaning business operator who is starting a branch operation in South Florida and a financial markets professional who divides his time between Florida and New York.
“They live in upstate New York and they are going to be establishing a residence down here,” Jahn said. “With technology today, he is able to do his job without being right there in New York.”
Miami real estate veteran Ron Shuffield, CEO of Berkshire Hathaway Home Services EWM Realty, said his firm is seeing a steady of flow of tax refugees who are signing contracts.
“We’re selling more than one property a week to buyers who are trying to escape high taxes,” he said. “In the financial industry we’re seeing a lot in that community. If you’re a hedge fund manager, you just pick up your laptop and move.”
States audit buyers Some state governments have taken to auditing the travels of homebuyers who leave for Florida and other states, but still commute back to their original states for work purposes.
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The reason is simple: With every move out of town, the high-tax states are losing revenue. Now, they’re trying to keep outbound money at home by proving that tax refugees spend enough time in their original states to still qualify as residents who can be taxed.
“New York is now trying to zero in on people who have moved and still go back to the state to work,” Shuffield said.
“The governor of New York has become our best salesperson because he’s complaining about how much more it costs to live there,” he added.
One client, he said, told him another state sought to audit his country club records “because they were trying to see how many days they were eating” at the club.
And according to CNBC, New York conducted 3,000 “non-residency” audits annually between 2010 and 2017, collecting $1 billion in taxes. It is also examining “cellphone records, social media feeds, and veterinary and dentist records” to verify where people actually call home.
Northern residents aren’t the only ones looking toward Florida.
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Well-heeled but tax-strapped California residents who shoulder personal rates that exceed 12 percent are looking east — and the destination is not their traditional landing spot of Nevada, but Florida.
“Nevada has long been the recipient of those California refugees,” said Greg McBride, chief financial analyst for BankRate.com in Palm Beach Gardens. “And more recently, Texas, because they also have no state income tax. Florida certainly holds that same appeal for Californians seeking warm weather, reasonable property values and a reduced tax burden.”
Noam Ziv, executive director of El-Ad National, which is developing the ALINA Residences condo project in downtown Boca Raton, was packing his bags last week to leave Las Vegas to manage the project’s construction.
He’s expecting prospective buyers from the Northeast and the West Coast. “We’re going to see more and more Californians coming to Florida — as much as from the Northeast,” he said.
'You see high-income professionals whether it’s lawyers or [people] in the financial business," he added. “They’re people who made a nice living, and now they want to preserve their wealth a little better.”